African Security Analysis
We
de-risk
Africa
Security Analysis and Consultancy for Public, Private and Government Sectors.
Security Updates
Gerald Group Regains Control of Soremi After Prolonged China National Gold Dispute
Gerald Group, a US-based metals trading and mining group, has regained control of the Soremi copper and zinc operation in M’Fouati, in the Republic of Congo, following a prolonged ownership dispute with China National Gold Group (CNG).
Russia–Africa Summit: Drone Threat and Operational Exposure in Moscow
The third Russia–Africa Summit is scheduled for Moscow on 28–29 Oct 2026. It will take place in a deteriorating security environment, marked by repeated long-range drone attacks against Moscow and other strategic locations in Russia.
Mali the Fall of Dioura and the Threat to Sevare
JNIM overran the Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) camp at Dioura on 10 September 2026. Reporting published by AFP on 18 September, citing military, security and local sources, put the death toll at, at least 100 Malian soldiers and five Russian Africa Corps personnel.
EARLY WARNING Mali: Unconfirmed attack on Bamako’s northeastern approach
Reports circulating on local security monitoring accounts during the evening of 18 September indicate that an armed attack may have occurred near the Kasséla toll post, approximately 36 km northeast of Bamako.
Our Offers
ASA Situation Reports™
Security Council Engagement Highlights Fragile Ceasefire, Regional Tensions and Mounting Humanitarian Pressure
The UNSC is scheduled to hold an open briefing and closed consultations on the DRC, including MONUSCO’s mandate and operational posture.
Bab al-Mandab: Houthi Advance Creates a New Strategic Threat to Africa and Red Sea Trade
The capture by Yemen's Houthi movement of the remaining government-held areas along Yemen's Red Sea coastline, including Mocha, Dhubab and the strategically important island of Mayyun/Perim, represents a significant change in the security environment surrounding the Bab al-Mandab Strait.
Sovereignty Against Spillover: The AU Summit's Good-Neighbourliness Bid and the DRC–Rwanda Test of a Contradictory Doctrine
The month's only summit-level session convenes on 23 September in New York, on the margins of the 81st UN General Assembly, under the theme 'Good Neighbourliness and Regional Responses to Security and Terrorism Challenges in Africa.'
Climate as a Threat Multiplier in the Sahel and Lake Chad: The AU's Decade of Recognition Meets Its Capability Deficit
On 18 September the PSC holds the only open session of the month, on the nexus between climate change, peace and security — a standing agenda item since the 585th session in March 2016 and now the subject of at least two sessions a year.
Central African Republic After Touadéra’s Re-Election
CAR has entered a consequential transition phase. President Faustin-Archange Touadéra’s re-election has consolidated political authority in Bangui, while the international security architecture that has underpinned the country for more than a decade is moving toward a debate over consolidation, task handover and eventual drawdown.
Children in Armed Conflict – Africa’s Enforcement and Reintegration Gap
The African Union Peace and Security Council (PSC) convened on 2 September 2026 to consider the protection of children in armed conflict, with particular attention to child soldiers and the framework established by UN Security Council Resolution 1612.
We advise the leaders
Important decisions demand solid foundations, and that's what we provide. Over the years, we've earned the trust of current, former, and even aspiring presidents, alongside high-ranking military officials, CEOs, and NGOs— something we are deeply proud of.
As trusted advisors and analysts, we offer the critical insights and understanding these leaders need to navigate complex security environments. Through long-standing personal relationships, we've supported them for years, ensuring they have the right information to make informed and impactful decisions when it matters most.
Our clients
REQUEST FOR INTEREST
How can we help you de-risk Africa?
Please enter your contact information and your requirements and needs for us to come back to you with a relevant proposal.
