African Security Analysis
We
de-risk
Africa
Security Analysis and Consultancy for Public, Private and Government Sectors.
Security Updates
Chad–Sudan Border Crisis: Drone Strike in Tiné and the Structural Spillover of the Sudan Conflict into Eastern Chad
The 18 March 2026 drone strike in Tiné, eastern Chad, represents a critical escalation in the cross-border dynamics of the Sudanese conflict. While tactically limited in scope, the attack signals a broader and more dangerous the progressive transformation of Chad’s eastern frontier into an active extension of the Darfur theatre.
Strategic Outlook: Operational Intelligence and Early Warning Capabilities Provided by ASA
The evolving security environment in eastern DRC illustrates a structural reality that increasingly defines the region: economic activity and armed conflict now coexist within the same operational geography.
Eastern DRC Conflict Dynamics and International Diplomatic Pressure: UNSC Consultations, Escalating Drone Warfare, and Renewed US Mediation Efforts
Members of the UNSC are scheduled to convene closed consultations on 17 March to address the deteriorating security situation in the DRC.
Field Security Update Eastern DRC: Destruction of Suspected ADF/ISCAP Command and Logistics Camp – Mambasa Sector
Joint FARDC–UPDF operations conducted on 22 February 2026 reportedly led to the destruction of a strategically significant camp assessed to have been linked to the leadership and logistics structure of the Allied Democratic Forces / Islamic State Central Africa Province (ADF/ISCAP).
Our Offers
ASA Situation Reports™
Hormuz Disruption Exposes Structural Fuel Vulnerability — Price Shock Spreads Across African Economies
The prolonged disruption of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a continent-wide fuel shock, exposing Africa’s structural dependence on imported refined petroleum products and critically low reserve capacity. With most African countries holding only 15–25 days of fuel reserves—far below the 90-day international benchmark—the crisis is rapidly evolving from a supply disruption into a systemic economic risk.
Ghana Repositions Damang Mine as Strategic Sovereignty Lever — $1B Capital Test for Local Investors Reshapes Regional Gold Sector
Ghana’s reassessment of ownership at the Damang gold mine marks a decisive shift in West Africa’s mining governance model, transitioning from passive regulatory oversight to active, performance-based resource allocation.
Mano River Basin Flashpoint: Preventive Diplomacy, De-escalation, and Managed Stability in a Fragile Border Environment
The high-level summit held in Conakry on 16 March 2026 between Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia represents a decisive diplomatic intervention aimed at containing and reversing a rapidly evolving set of border-related tensions in the Mano River Basin.
France–Algeria: Strategic Recalibration Amid Shifting Regional Power Dynamics
The 15 March 2026 exchange between Jean-Noël Barrot and Ahmed Attaf marks the formal end of a prolonged period of diplomatic stagnation between France and Algeria, lasting nearly eighteen months.
Angola Strengthens Maritime Domain Awareness
The Angolan Navy has entered a new phase of maritime capability development following the launch of its first BR71 MK II Combattante-class corvette, the NRA Ekuikui II, in Cherbourg, France, on 4 March 2026.
Somalia Raises Alarm Over Alleged Israeli Military Footprint in Somaliland Amid Escalating Strategic Rivalries in the Horn of Africa
The Federal Government of Somalia has publicly expressed concern over what it describes as emerging Israeli military ambitions in the territory of Somaliland, a self-declared republic that remains internationally unrecognised but has developed increasingly autonomous political and economic structures since declaring independence in 1991.
We advise the leaders
Important decisions demand solid foundations, and that's what we provide. Over the years, we've earned the trust of current, former, and even aspiring presidents, alongside high-ranking military officials, CEOs, and NGOs— something we are deeply proud of.
As trusted advisors and analysts, we offer the critical insights and understanding these leaders need to navigate complex security environments. Through long-standing personal relationships, we've supported them for years, ensuring they have the right information to make informed and impactful decisions when it matters most.
Our clients
REQUEST FOR INTEREST
How can we help you de-risk Africa?
Please enter your contact information and your requirements and needs for us to come back to you with a relevant proposal.
