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Islam, Tribute, or the Sword
Allied Democratic Forces/Islamic State Central Africa Province (ADF/ISCAP) Ideological Warfare and the Escalating Security Crisis in Beni–Lubero–Ituri
MPLJ’s Insurgency Expands in Northern Niger Targeting Foreign Interests
On 2 September 2025, between 03:00 and 04:00, armed insurgents launched a coordinated assault on a Nigerien National Guard patrol and a security post in Abalama, commune of Aderbissinat (Agadez region). The attackers, estimated at around a dozen fighters, attempted a pre-dawn ambush against security forces tasked with protecting the road construction works in the area.
JNIM-Imposed Blockade and Restrictions in Western Mali
JNIM has announced sweeping restrictions that deepen instability across Mali’s western regions. In a statement delivered by Abou Houzeifa Al-Bambari, the group declared a blockade on Kayes and Nioro du Sahel, banned the import of fuel from four neighbouring countries, and suspended the operations of the logistics company Diarra Transport.
JNIM’s Multi-Pronged Offensive in Mali
As of early September 2025, Mali faces an intensifying insurgency led by JNIM, an al-Qaeda affiliate. Recent events in central and western Mali highlight a coordinated strategy by JNIM to weaken the Malian state on multiple fronts. This analysis focuses on three key developments: the seizure and continued occupation of Farabougou, the assassination of a local mayor amidst internal rivalries, and targeted economic sabotage.
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